- Russia as we currently know it may not survive the coming decade and risks becoming a failed state as it pursues its costly war in Ukraine, according to a survey of global strategists and analysts.Separately, roughly 40%of respondents expected Russia "to break up internally for reasons including but not limited to revolution, civil war, or political disintegration."Experts have been closely watching the Kremlin for signs of willingness to turn the tide of war through nuclear deployment."Among those expecting the country to experience both state failure and a breakup in the coming decade, a sobering 22 percent believe that use of nuclear weapons will be part of that history ten years hence," the think tank noted.It said that there was some hope that state failure in Russia, or a breakup over the coming decade, could lead to a positive outcome: "Of those who believe Russia is likely to experience state failure or a breakup over the coming decade, 10 percent think that it is the most likely of any currently autocratic country to become democratic by the end of this period," the survey found."